Bitcoin is rewriting its own story once again. In the early hours of Thursday, BTC surged past $111,000 to hit a new all-time high of $111,878. This is once again reinforcing BTC’s identity as a resilient and sought-after global asset. This latest milestone is not just a number. It is a signal that underscores the increasing momentum behind Bitcoin which is powered largely by institutional inflows, renewed market conviction, and growing legitimacy in global finance.

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The sharp 3.5 per cent move lifted the overall crypto market cap by 1.7 per cent, according to CoinGecko. While altcoins are starting to show strength, especially with “OTHERS” (crypto assets outside the top 10) reversing market structure at the $265 billion level, Bitcoin remains the anchor for investor sentiment. Even newer players like Hyperliquid clocked a 15 per cent gain on May 22. This is indicative of the risk appetite trickling into the altcoin markets, too.

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But even as the euphoria builds, experienced market watchers are cautious. Oversold daily RSI levels suggest a short-term correction could be imminent. This is buttressed by weakening ETF inflows and the backdrop of a largely declining but volatile US stock market. Some analysts also warn of option market makers deploying hedging strategies near the $115K mark, which could potentially slow the pace of gains.

Still, the long-term trajectory seems intact. Forecasts now place Bitcoin at a possible $180,000 by year-end, with sustained inflows into spot ETFs and accelerating institutional adoption serving as key tailwinds. The path of least resistance appears upward even though the terrain would be bumpy.

What is Driving the Rally?

The macroeconomic landscape has turned more favourable for digital assets. In recent weeks, geopolitical tensions eased with the India-Pakistan ceasefire. Importantly, the US and China also struck a deal to reduce trade tariffs. These developments collectively improved global risk sentiment. The US Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady has also bolstered market confidence.

Simultaneously, a $1 billion inflow into Bitcoin ETFs over the past week signals that institutional appetite for crypto remains robust. The mainstreaming of digital assets took another symbolic step forward with Coinbase’s inclusion in the S&P 500 index. This is proof that traditional markets are now acknowledging the growing maturity and influence of crypto finance.

Ethereum, too, has had its moment as it surged over 40 per cent in the past week and pushed the ETH/BTC ratio to a six-week high. But even with this relative outperformance, BTC’s psychological dominance in the market remains unchallenged.

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Reading the Road Ahead

While Bitcoin’s fundamentals (decentralisation, limited supply, and network strength) continue to hold firm, a few metrics will shape its immediate trajectory. These are:

  • Institutional Activity: Bitcoin ETFs in the US and Europe are becoming favoured instruments for large-scale investors. Sustained flows into these products are vital for further upside.
  • Regulatory Signals: Progress on crypto regulation from the SEC and the European Union will either provide tailwinds or introduce fresh headwinds.
  • On-Chain Health: Bitcoin’s hash rate, whale movement, and active wallet addresses are all currently strong, pointing to continued network participation.

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